← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G Hegley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Northampton win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brentford | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1442.48 | 1366.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -58.40 | 14.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 46.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| state index | -1.54 | -0.69 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |