← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S Baines
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Luton win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1492.25 | 1572.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.04 | -6.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| league points | 58.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |