← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: E Evans
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Colchester win | 30% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.31 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1438.55 | 1467.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.97 | 34.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 45.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 7.20 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |