← EFL League One 2002-03 · Fri, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G Hegley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Mansfield win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1600.99 | 1420.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.55 | 0.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 70.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.20 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.65 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |