← EFL League One 2002-03 · Wed, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C Penton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Swindon win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| coach days | — | 7747.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.61 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1443.46 | 1560.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.21 | 23.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |