← EFL League One 2002-03 · Tue, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: N Barry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Colchester win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 4 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chesterfield | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1378.27 | 1449.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.12 | 30.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 43.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.80 |
| state index | -0.96 | 0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |