← EFL League One 2002-03 · Sat, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G Cain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Northampton win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 2233.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1429.90 | 1355.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.95 | -17.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 36.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.30 | -1.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |