← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, May 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.36 |
| Blackburn win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −1 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Blackburn −1 | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
| 58' | 🟨 | James Justin · Leicester |
| 68' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 86' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 308.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1796.79 | 1549.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.22 | -10.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.90 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 48.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 97.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 4.69 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 2.16 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.28 | -0.98 |
| solidity v1 | 1.28 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.34 | 25.07 |
| state index | 1.21 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 152.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.09 | 1.61 |