← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, May 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Hooper
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 77% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.79 |
| Huddersfield win | 8% | 12.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −1.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Huddersfield −1.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Wes Burns · Ipswich |
| 48' | ⚽ | Omari Hutchinson · Ipswich |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alex Matos · Huddersfield |
| 86' | 🟨 | Omari Hutchinson · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 885.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1765.76 | 1517.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.06 | -19.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.98 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| league points | 93.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -1.47 |
| solidity v1 | 0.25 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 264.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.49 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.09 |