← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, May 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 49% | 1.95 |
| QPR win | 26% | 3.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| QPR −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 33' | ⚽ | Ilias Chair · QPR |
| 40' | 🟨 | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
| 40' | ⚽ | Morgan Fox · QPR |
| 70' | 🟨 | Kenneth Paal · QPR |
| 73' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 74' | 🟨 | Albert Adomah · QPR |
| 83' | ⚽ | Jamie Allen · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2621.00 | 216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 4.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1640.11 | 1562.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -53.97 | 13.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.77 |
| league points | 64.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 7.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -0.59 |
| solidity v1 | -1.44 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 30.93 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.17 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 135.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.36 |