← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 30, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 |
| Coventry win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ipswich +0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.57 |
| Under | 38% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Ipswich |
| 64' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 69' | ⚽ | Cameron Burgess · Ipswich |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sam Morsy · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2617.00 | 881.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1648.72 | 1757.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.28 | -16.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 64.00 | 90.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | -1.35 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 27.00 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 185.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.81 | 1.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.34 |