← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 |
| Swansea win | 20% | 4.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Swansea −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Jamie Paterson · Swansea |
| 34' | ⚽ | Gabriel Sara · Norwich |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jamie Paterson · Swansea |
| 45' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 53' | 🟨 | Angus Gunn · Norwich |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Matt Grimes · Swansea |
| 57' | 🟨 | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sam McCallum · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 482.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1677.19 | 1618.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.35 | 12.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 72.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 64.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 1.56 |
| solidity v1 | 0.10 | 1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.46 | 28.14 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 374.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 0.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.39 |