← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Birmingham win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Birmingham +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Lee Buchanan · Birmingham |
| 45' | ⚽ | Koji Miyoshi · Birmingham |
| 47' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Huddersfield |
| 75' | 🟨 | Keshi Anderson · Birmingham |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jack Rudoni · Huddersfield |
| 86' | 🟨 | Krystian Bielik · Birmingham |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ethan Laird · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | John Smith's Stadium |
| coach days | 86.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1519.32 | 1512.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.45 | 22.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.79 |
| league points | 44.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.76 | -0.53 |
| solidity v1 | -0.54 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.36 | 27.79 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.37 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 131.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 0.72 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 0.89 |