← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 69% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Rotherham win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −1.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Rotherham −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Dillon Phillips · Rotherham |
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Tommy Conway · Bristol City |
| 57' | ⚽ | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tom Eaves · Rotherham |
| 83' | 🟨 | Joe Williams · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 178.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1615.32 | 1416.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.38 | -2.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.69 |
| league points | 59.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 0.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -1.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.69 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 0.43 |