← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Coventry win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Coventry −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Kasey Palmer · Coventry |
| 62' | 🟥 | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 30 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 86.00 | 2614.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1548.22 | 1649.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.50 | -47.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.30 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| league points | 49.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 0.61 |
| solidity v1 | -0.57 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.07 | — |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 157.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.19 |