← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Apr 26, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bond
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| QPR win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +1 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Leeds +1 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ilias Chair · QPR |
| 16' | 🟨 | Sam Byram · Leeds |
| 22' | ⚽ | Lucas Andersen · QPR |
| 41' | 🟨 | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jack Colback · QPR |
| 73' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 86' | ⚽ | Samuel Field · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 208.00 | 300.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1534.70 | 1787.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.40 | -21.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 50.00 | 90.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 6.11 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 1.13 |
| solidity v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.10 | 24.59 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 268.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.82 |