β EFL Championship 2023-24 Β· Wed, Apr 24, 06:45 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Coventry win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Coventry +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | β½ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace Β· Hull |
| 36' | β½ | Kasey Palmer Β· Coventry |
| 42' | π¨ | Tyler Morton Β· Hull |
| 45' | π¨ | Ben Sheaf Β· Coventry |
| 45' | π¨ | Josh Eccles Β· Coventry |
| 45' | π¨ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace Β· Hull |
| 45' | π¨ | Fabio Carvalho Β· Hull |
| 45' | β½ (pen) | Fabio Carvalho Β· Hull |
| 58' | β½ | Bobby Thomas Β· Coventry |
| 68' | π¨ | Alfie Jones Β· Hull |
| 78' | β½ | Noah Ohio Β· Hull |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2611.00 | 540.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1662.47 | 1631.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.35 | 20.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| league points | 63.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 11.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 1.27 |
| solidity v1 | -0.51 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | β | 25.83 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| travel km | β | 162.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.45 |