← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 23, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Southampton win | 27% | 3.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Leicester −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.50 |
| Under | 35% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
| 62' | ⚽ | Wilfred Ndidi · Leicester |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jannik Vestergaard · Leicester |
| 75' | ⚽ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
| 79' | ⚽ | Jamie Vardy · Leicester |
| 81' | ⚽ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 297.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1771.36 | 1729.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.88 | 4.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.56 |
| league points | 91.00 | 84.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 89.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 66.20 |
| rest days | 3.31 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.73 | 2.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.56 | 27.65 |
| state index | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | 1.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 191.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 1.78 |