← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Harrington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.39 |
| Middlesbrough win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Leeds +1 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Isaiah Jones · Middlesbrough |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Crysencio Summerville · Leeds |
| 18' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Leeds |
| 30' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 35' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 39' | ⚽ | Wilfried Gnonto · Leeds |
| 45' | 🟨 | Patrick Bamford · Leeds |
| 61' | ⚽ | Crysencio Summerville · Leeds |
| 78' | 🟨 | Isaiah Jones · Middlesbrough |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jonathan Howson · Middlesbrough |
| 87' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 569.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1664.53 | 1779.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.67 | -35.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 63.00 | 87.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 64.20 |
| rest days | 9.21 | 9.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 2.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 1.66 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.11 | 24.11 |
| state index | 0.72 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | 1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 91.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 0.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.53 |