← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Watford win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Hull +0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Wesley Hoedt · Watford |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jacob Greaves · Hull |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ryan Porteous · Watford |
| 52' | 🟨 | Ryan Andrews · Watford |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matty Jacob · Hull |
| 70' | 🟨 | Tyler Morton · Hull |
| 72' | 🟨 | Francisco Sierralta · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adama Traoré · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days | 50.00 | 536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1588.84 | 1631.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.50 | -1.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 52.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 1.38 |
| solidity v1 | 0.30 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 25.76 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 233.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.12 |