← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Plymouth win | 19% | 5.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Plymouth −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Ben Wilmot · Stoke |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ki-Jana Hoever · Stoke |
| 36' | 🟨 | Tyrese Campbell · Stoke |
| 36' | 🟨 | Bali Mumba · Plymouth |
| 36' | 🟨 | Michael Cooper · Plymouth |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ki-Jana Hoever · Stoke |
| 45' | ⚽ | Million Manhoef · Stoke |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dan Scarr · Plymouth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alfie Devine · Plymouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Wouter Burger · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 141.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1543.93 | 1573.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.02 | 3.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.71 |
| league points | 47.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.55 | — |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 0.86 |