← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Barrott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Bristol City win | 20% | 5.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.75 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Bristol City −0.75 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | ⚽ | Haydon Roberts · Bristol City |
| 58' | ⚽ | Borja Sainz · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Williams · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 475.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1680.74 | 1611.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.80 | 37.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| league points | 71.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.68 | 27.76 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.37 |