← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Swansea win | 27% | 3.56 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Swansea −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Jamie Paterson · Swansea |
| 55' | 🟨 | Michał Helik · Huddersfield |
| 73' | ⚽ | Jamal Lowe · Swansea |
| 85' | ⚽ | Ronald · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sorba Thomas · Huddersfield |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jerry Yates · Swansea |
| 90' | ⚽ | Liam Walsh · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 0 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | John Smith's Stadium |
| coach days | 79.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1538.00 | 1599.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.40 | -5.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 44.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | 1.30 |
| solidity v1 | -0.22 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.36 | 28.14 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 267.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.46 |