← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Sunderland win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| West Brom −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 42' | 🟨 | Brandon Thomas-Asante · West Brom |
| 43' | 🟨 | Brandon Thomas-Asante · West Brom |
| 43' | 🟥 | Brandon Thomas-Asante · West Brom |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pierre Ekwah · Sunderland |
| 63' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jed Wallace · West Brom |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ajibola-Joshua Alese · Sunderland |
| 85' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · Sunderland |
| 86' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 560.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1703.34 | 1586.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.62 | -7.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 72.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | 0.17 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.85 | 22.96 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.25 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 270.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.34 |