← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 71% | 1.34 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.41 |
| Rotherham win | 10% | 9.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −1.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Swansea −1.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.68 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Lee Peltier · Rotherham |
| 34' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Rotherham |
| 54' | 🟨 | Oliver Cooper · Swansea |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
| 74' | ⚽ (og) | Andy Rinomhota · Swansea |
| 87' | 🟨 | Matt Grimes · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 12 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 103.00 | 12.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1595.24 | 1419.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.52 | -4.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 50.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.35 | -1.17 |
| solidity v1 | 1.23 | -1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.14 | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.79 | 2.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.52 |