← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.02 |
| Middlesbrough win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Middlesbrough −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 30' | ⚽ | Massimo Luongo · Ipswich |
| 49' | 🟨 | Massimo Luongo · Ipswich |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jonathan Howson · Middlesbrough |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luke Ayling · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 864.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1763.08 | 1660.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.99 | 19.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 88.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 0.46 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 24.11 |
| state index | 0.97 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 321.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.13 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.77 | 1.01 |