← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| QPR win | 26% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hull −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ozan Tufan · Hull |
| 27' | ⚽ | Fabio Carvalho · Hull |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jimmy Dunne · QPR |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Hull |
| 75' | 🟨 | Regan Slater · Hull |
| 78' | 🟨 | Tyler Morton · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 529.00 | 195.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 5.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1620.65 | 1534.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.82 | 9.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 62.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -0.05 |
| solidity v1 | -0.53 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 29.91 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.04 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 248.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 0.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.20 |