← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bramall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Birmingham win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Birmingham +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.72 |
| Under | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (og) | Bobby Thomas · Birmingham |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ivan Šunjić · Birmingham |
| 41' | ⚽ | Ivan Šunjić · Birmingham |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jay Stansfield · Birmingham |
| 54' | 🟨 | Joel Latibeaudiere · Coventry |
| 59' | ⚽ | Jay Stansfield · Birmingham |
| 72' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 79' | 🟨 | Koji Miyoshi · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days | 43.00 | 2600.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1489.41 | 1686.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.08 | 9.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 42.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.18 | — |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 25.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.42 |