← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 13, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 71% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.61 |
| Blackburn win | 10% | 9.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −1.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Leeds −1.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Hayden Carter · Blackburn |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 47' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 82' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 85' | 🟨 | Aynsley Pears · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mateo Joseph · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 287.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.32 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1796.29 | 1548.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.65 | 12.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.80 | 44.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| league points | 87.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.48 | 0.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.90 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.73 | 25.07 |
| state index | 0.82 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 60.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.77 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.23 |