← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Apr 12, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Jones
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 67% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.14 |
| Plymouth win | 14% | 7.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester +1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Plymouth +1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Plymouth |
| 30' | 🟨 | Mickel Miller · Plymouth |
| 41' | 🟨 | Adam Forshaw · Plymouth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Wilfred Ndidi · Leicester |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ryan Hardie · Plymouth |
| 50' | 🟨 | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jannik Vestergaard · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Waine · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 13 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 11.00 | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1559.43 | 1779.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.26 | -22.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 45.00 | 88.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 1.55 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.75 |