← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Apr 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Eltringham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 77% | 1.23 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.28 |
| Rotherham win | 7% | 15.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −1.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| West Brom −1.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Brandon Thomas-Asante · West Brom |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | John Swift · West Brom |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andy Rinomhota · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 557.00 | 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| elo | 1699.55 | 1423.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.10 | -7.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -1.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 69.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -12.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | -1.15 |
| solidity v1 | -0.45 | -1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.88 | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.56 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.03 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 0.45 |