← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Apr 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Stoke win | 35% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Stoke +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 38' | 🟨 | Enda Stevens · Stoke |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jamie Paterson · Swansea |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Matt Grimes · Swansea |
| 61' | 🟨 | Harry Darling · Swansea |
| 61' | 🟨 | Million Manhoef · Stoke |
| 67' | 🟨 | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 73' | ⚽ | Josh Key · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Thompson · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 100.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1582.05 | 1554.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.79 | 20.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| league points | 47.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.66 | -0.38 |
| solidity v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.14 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.48 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 191.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.45 |