← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Apr 10, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Middlesbrough win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Hull −0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 29' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Hull |
| 41' | ⚽ | Jean Michaël Seri · Hull |
| 71' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ryan Giles · Hull |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fabio Carvalho · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 526.00 | 557.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1621.28 | 1659.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.85 | 27.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 61.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.24 | -0.33 |
| solidity v1 | -0.14 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 25.75 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 107.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 0.88 |