← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 9, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.42 |
| Coventry win | 22% | 4.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Coventry −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.42 |
| Under | 32% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Joel Latibeaudiere · Coventry |
| 18' | ⚽ | Kyle Walker-Peters · Southampton |
| 38' | ⚽ | Che Adams · Southampton |
| 40' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 42' | 🟨 | Flynn Downes · Southampton |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jake Bidwell · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | St. Mary's Stadium |
| coach days | 283.00 | 2596.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1721.40 | 1694.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.48 | 23.40 |
| eye test v1 | 1.35 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.72 |
| league points | 75.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 2.10 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 0.49 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.51 | — |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.33 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 171.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.26 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.05 | 1.53 |