← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Apr 9, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Plymouth win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Plymouth +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.72 |
| Over | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 73' | ⚽ | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 85' | ⚽ (og) | Albert Adomah · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chris Willock · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 8.00 | 191.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 5.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1561.96 | 1532.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.30 | -7.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 44.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| solidity v1 | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 29.91 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.33 |