← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Bristol City win | 29% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −0.25 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Bristol City −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 70' | 🟨 | Haydon Roberts · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 65.00 | 157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1580.58 | 1599.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.76 | 22.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 51.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -0.73 |
| solidity v1 | -1.21 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.22 | 27.76 |
| state index | -0.31 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 0.91 |