← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Cardiff win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hull +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Fabio Carvalho · Hull |
| 44' | ⚽ | Fabio Carvalho · Hull |
| 57' | ⚽ | Karlan Grant · Cardiff |
| 59' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Hull |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jacob Greaves · Hull |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alfie Jones · Hull |
| 72' | 🟨 | Manolis Siopis · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cyrus Christie · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 310.00 | 522.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1560.82 | 1605.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.55 | -27.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 56.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 1.07 |
| solidity v1 | -0.43 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 26.14 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 317.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 0.99 |