← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Apr 6, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Norwich win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Norwich +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Axel Tuanzebe · Ipswich |
| 39' | ⚽ | Marcelino Núñez · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 461.00 | 857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1659.87 | 1780.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.97 | 10.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| league points | 64.00 | 87.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 26.49 |
| state index | 0.78 | 1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 64.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.17 |