← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.29 |
| Hull win | 12% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −1.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Leeds −1.5 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Sam Byram · Leeds |
| 27' | 🟨 | Junior Firpo · Leeds |
| 34' | ⚽ | Fabio Carvalho · Hull |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Hull |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jean Michaël Seri · Hull |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Crysencio Summerville · Leeds |
| 89' | 🟨 | Crysencio Summerville · Leeds |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel James · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 275.00 | 517.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1809.56 | 1611.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.02 | -21.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.10 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.78 |
| league points | 83.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 59.80 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 3.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.65 | 1.18 |
| solidity v1 | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.68 | 25.58 |
| state index | 1.21 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 79.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 0.99 |