← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Watford win | 23% | 4.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| West Brom −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Dennis · Watford |
| 51' | ⚽ | Edo Kayembe · Watford |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mileta Rajović · Watford |
| 70' | ⚽ | Brandon Thomas-Asante · West Brom |
| 90' | ⚽ | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 548.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1706.91 | 1583.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.04 | -5.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 46.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 67.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 2.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | -0.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.17 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.51 | 25.90 |
| state index | 0.81 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.45 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 143.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.15 |