← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Welch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Huddersfield win | 25% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Stoke −0.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Mehdi Léris · Stoke |
| 40' | 🟨 | Alex Matos · Huddersfield |
| 45' | ⚽ | Bojan Radulović · Huddersfield |
| 50' | ⚽ | Ki-Jana Hoever · Stoke |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luke McNally · Stoke |
| 66' | 🟨 | Sead Hakšabanović · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 122.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1554.36 | 1534.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.76 | -31.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| league points | 44.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | -0.96 |
| solidity v1 | 0.45 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.31 | -1.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| travel km | — | 78.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.36 |