← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
| Rotherham win | 16% | 6.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Rotherham +0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.59 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 71' | ⚽ | Sebastian Revan · Rotherham |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sam Clucas · Rotherham |
| 78' | ⚽ | Ryan Longman · Millwall |
| 79' | 🟨 | Andy Rinomhota · Rotherham |
| 86' | ⚽ | Charlie Wyke · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 0.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1419.41 | 1556.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.64 | 17.04 |
| eye test v1 | -1.39 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| league points | 20.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.51 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | -1.85 |
| solidity v1 | -1.43 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.94 | 25.29 |
| state index | -1.87 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.75 |