← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Apr 1, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Bond
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 59% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.44 |
| Norwich win | 19% | 5.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Leicester −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Gabriel Sara · Norwich |
| 33' | ⚽ | Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · Leicester |
| 35' | 🟨 | Shane Duffy · Norwich |
| 61' | ⚽ | Stephy Mavididi · Leicester |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jannik Vestergaard · Leicester |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jamie Vardy · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 275.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1784.24 | 1667.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.77 | 21.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 82.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.16 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 1.05 |
| solidity v1 | 0.12 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.99 | 28.17 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 165.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.67 |