← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.82 |
| Plymouth win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth −1.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Norwich −1.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
| 18' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Plymouth |
| 30' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · Plymouth |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mickel Miller · Plymouth |
| 67' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jordan Houghton · Plymouth |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alfie Devine · Plymouth |
| 74' | ⚽ (og) | Ashley Phillips · Norwich |
| 80' | 🟨 | Adam Forshaw · Plymouth |
| 82' | 🟨 | Julio Pleguezuelo · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 453.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1661.94 | 1570.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.19 | -10.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 61.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | -0.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.92 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.20 | — |
| state index | 1.01 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.08 |