← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Scott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Stoke win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hull −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Luke McNally · Stoke |
| 28' | 🟨 | Michael Rose · Stoke |
| 33' | 🟨 | Josh Laurent · Stoke |
| 69' | ⚽ | Josh Laurent · Stoke |
| 74' | 🟨 | Enda Stevens · Stoke |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ki-Jana Hoever · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 514.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.55 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1632.60 | 1532.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.61 | 4.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 58.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.83 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.23 | 26.42 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 146.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.19 |