← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Sunderland win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Sunderland +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Adil Aouchiche · Sunderland |
| 27' | ⚽ | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| 36' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · Sunderland |
| 64' | 🟨 | Josh Bowler · Cardiff |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ryan Wintle · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 302.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1561.76 | 1589.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.92 | -38.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 53.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 13.10 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | 0.40 |
| solidity v1 | 0.16 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 21.48 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 401.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 0.60 |