← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Millwall win | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Joe Bryan · Millwall |
| 17' | 🟨 | Kyle Bartley · West Brom |
| 21' | ⚽ | Duncan Watmore · Millwall |
| 60' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · West Brom |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | John Swift · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Den |
| coach days | 57.00 | 545.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1553.86 | 1709.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.95 | 28.06 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 43.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 11.92 | 12.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.08 | 0.62 |
| solidity v1 | 0.55 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.29 | 29.53 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.33 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.87 |