← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Mar 29, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 |
| Bristol City win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bristol City +0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 73' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nahki Wells · Bristol City |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mark Sykes · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 149.00 | 272.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1574.54 | 1798.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.39 | -45.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 47.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 12.90 | 19.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 2.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.69 | 1.55 |