← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
| Bristol City win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| West Brom −0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Conor Townsend · West Brom |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
| 45' | ⚽ | Tom Fellows · West Brom |
| 50' | ⚽ | Jed Wallace · West Brom |
| 59' | 🟨 | Taylor Gardner-Hickman · Bristol City |
| 71' | 🟨 | Okay Yokuşlu · West Brom |
| 85' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Palmer · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 532.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1701.72 | 1582.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.38 | -32.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 63.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.32 |
| solidity v1 | 0.38 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.29 | 27.76 |
| state index | 1.01 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 0.78 |