← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Norwich win | 35% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Norwich +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 28' | ⚽ | Gabriel Sara · Norwich |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tyrese Campbell · Stoke |
| 60' | ⚽ | Ashley Barnes · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 106.00 | 440.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1548.52 | 1646.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.45 | 8.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 41.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 1.00 |
| solidity v1 | 0.62 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.42 | 27.60 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 237.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 0.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.54 |